Lorient vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
2 - 3
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 2
PSG
10%
18%
73%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 4
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 1
LOR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 3
MON
12%
19%
70%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
NIC
2 - 2
CAE
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 3
ANG
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
CAE
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |