Lorca CFB U19 vs Murcia Promesas U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
6º
5º
38
9º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
63 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
86% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CFB U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
LOR
6 - 2
CAR
87%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
LOR
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 1
ADM
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 5
LOR
28%
22%
50%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LOR
7 - 1
PUE
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Murcia Promesas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 3
MUR
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
LOR
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
MUR
23%
20%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MUR
3 - 1
CAN
53%
21%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
UCA
5 - 3
MUR
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |