Lorca Deportiva vs Poli Ejido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CIU
2 - 1
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
UDL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 1
LOR
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 1
NUM
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
LOR
3 - 0
ALB
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
POL
2 - 3
VAD
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
XER
2 - 1
POL
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SLA
0 - 0
POL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
POL
2 - 0
CIU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
POL
1 - 1
UDL
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |