Lorca Deportiva vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UDF
1 - 2
LOR
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 3
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 5
LOR
38%
29%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 2
AGU
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
ULP
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MER
1 - 2
IMP
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
MER
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MER
0 - 1
LOR
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEC
0 - 2
MER
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
PPJ
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |