Lorca CF vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
ELC
7 - 1
LOR
71%
16%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAR
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
ELC
3 - 0
LOR
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
UDA
3 - 0
LOR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
IMP
3 - 1
LOR
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
IMP
3 - 1
ALM
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 0
IMP
68%
17%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
0 - 1
MUR
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FER
3 - 1
IMP
74%
14%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
IMP
3 - 0
ALI
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |