Londrina vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
CSA
1 - 0
LON
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
LON
2 - 2
BOT
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
LON
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
OPE
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LON
0 - 1
BRU
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 0
CSA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |