Lomello vs Robbio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+116%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lomello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 2
LOM
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LOM
2 - 0
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 2
LOM
26%
23%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LOM
1 - 0
BIA
83%
12%
6%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 2
LOM
35%
24%
42%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Robbio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ROB
1 - 2
RIV
22%
22%
57%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
1 - 0
ROB
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ROB
0 - 3
CON
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CER
1 - 0
ROB
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ROB
0 - 4
VAR
10%
17%
72%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |