Loja vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
LOJ
18%
23%
60%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOJ
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
LOJ
3 - 2
LIN
61%
22%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RON
0 - 3
LOJ
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LOJ
1 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 1
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
RON
66%
20%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 0
HUE
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |