Logan Lightning vs Rochedale Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
IPS
2 - 3
LOG
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LOG
4 - 1
CAP
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 0
LOG
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
3 - 2
UNI
86%
10%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LOG
2 - 0
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rochedale Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
EAS
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 0
ROC
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
QUE
6 - 0
ROC
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
EAS
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
ROC
8%
13%
79%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | +1 |