Logan Lightning vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
79.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LOG
1 - 4
OLY
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
GOL
0 - 1
LOG
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 0
BRR
27%
21%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 2
LOG
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LOG
0 - 3
SUN
16%
17%
67%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
QUE
3 - 2
EAS
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
GCK
1 - 1
QUE
20%
22%
57%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
QUE
7 - 0
BRI
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
QUE
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 3
QUE
16%
20%
65%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |