Logan Lightning vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 0
EAS
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 1
LOG
82%
11%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
BRI
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 4
SUN
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
LOG
1 - 3
CAP
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
2 - 2
BRR
80%
13%
8%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CAP
3 - 2
QUE
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
QUE
3 - 2
GCK
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
ROC
2 - 5
QUE
27%
21%
52%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 0
OLY
32%
23%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |