Logan Lightning vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
42.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
6 - 0
VIR
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 3
GRA
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 1
EAS
38%
22%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 5
MIT
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
NFU
0 - 4
PEN
8%
14%
78%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
GRA
57%
20%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
EAS
0 - 2
PEN
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 4
QUE
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
WOL
1 - 6
PEN
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |