Logan Lightning vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
59.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 0
LOG
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 2
QUE
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 4
IPS
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
LOG
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
PEN
4 - 2
TAR
83%
12%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
PEN
24%
23%
54%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PEN
3 - 1
WOL
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
3 - 1
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
MIT
4 - 4
PEN
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |