Logan Lightning vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
15.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
LOG
19%
19%
63%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
4 - 1
CAP
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
4 - 3
LOG
62%
18%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
3 - 1
CAP
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EAS
5 - 0
IPS
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 1
QUE
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +4 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HPH
5 - 0
IPS
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
IPS
0 - 4
MIT
20%
20%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
HPH
3 - 2
IPS
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |