Logan Lightning vs Ipswich Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
LOG
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 5
LOG
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TAR
1 - 1
LOG
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 2
WOL
34%
21%
45%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 1
TAR
72%
16%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 2
EAS
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
QUE
4 - 0
IPS
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 3
IPS
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
IPS
1 - 2
PEN
15%
18%
68%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 4
QUE
16%
19%
66%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |