Logan Lightning vs Holland Park Hawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LOG
6 - 1
NPI
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 0
IPS
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 3
LOG
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Holland Park Hawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HPH
1 - 4
ALB
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
HPH
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HPH
2 - 0
CAP
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 2
HPH
73%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HPH
0 - 1
MIT
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |