Logan Lightning vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+220%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OLY
3 - 2
LOG
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
LOG
1 - 0
GOL
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 0
LOG
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BRR
2 - 2
LOG
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
BRR
2 - 2
LOG
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 4
QUE
12%
17%
72%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 0
EAS
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
EAS
3 - 2
CAP
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MAG
2 - 5
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
3 - 0
EAS
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |