Logan Lightning vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+231%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
5 - 1
LOG
82%
11%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LOG
1 - 1
BRI
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 4
SUN
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
LOG
1 - 3
CAP
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
LOG
1 - 4
BRI
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 3
BRR
68%
17%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
HPH
1 - 3
EAS
39%
22%
40%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
EAS
3 - 1
BRI
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 2
EAS
31%
21%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 5
GCK
15%
17%
68%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |