Logan Lightning vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MIT
2 - 1
LOG
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
LOG
2 - 1
ALB
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
LOG
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 4
CAP
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
LOG
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
EAS
52%
21%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 4
PEN
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 0
EAS
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EAS
0 - 1
QUE
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HPH
3 - 1
EAS
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |