Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
4 - 3
LOG
62%
18%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
3 - 1
CAP
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
6 - 0
VIR
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
3 - 1
CAP
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAP
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 2
GRA
36%
21%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
EAS
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 7
QUE
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -2 |