Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
26.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
LOG
6 - 0
VIR
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MIT
2 - 1
LOG
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 3
GRA
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 1
EAS
38%
22%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 2
CAP
15%
17%
68%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
3 - 2
GRA
36%
21%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
EAS
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 7
QUE
22%
21%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
HPH
8 - 0
CAP
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |