Logan Lightning vs Capalaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
LOG
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LOG
1 - 4
HPH
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
59%
20%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LOG
6 - 1
NPI
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
ALB
54%
20%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PEN
3 - 2
CAP
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 4
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAP
2 - 5
QUE
16%
20%
64%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HPH
2 - 0
CAP
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |