Logan Lightning vs Brisbane Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 4
LOG
13%
19%
68%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
WOL
7 - 1
LOG
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 1
EAS
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CAP
5 - 2
LOG
71%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
LOG
0 - 3
ROC
16%
18%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BRI
0 - 2
WOL
7%
13%
80%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
BRI
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
BRI
2 - 5
CAP
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
IPS
1 - 2
BRI
75%
16%
10%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 0
BRI
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |