Logan Lightning vs Brisbane City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
LOG
2 - 1
MIT
44%
21%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
VIR
2 - 4
LOG
58%
19%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
LOG
5 - 1
RED
45%
22%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
6 - 0
LOG
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
LOG
1 - 2
HPH
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SWQ
2 - 1
BRI
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BRI
1 - 2
MOR
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 1
BRI
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
WES
1 - 3
BRI
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BRI
4 - 1
WES
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |