Logan Lightning vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 2
LOG
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
LOG
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 3
ROC
31%
23%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 3
MIT
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 2
LOG
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 3
GRA
54%
20%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 1
ALB
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
MIT
42%
21%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 1
ALB
68%
18%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
HPH
5 - 2
ALB
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |