Logan Lightning vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 3
PEN
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 0
LOG
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 2
QUE
20%
22%
58%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
LOG
1 - 4
IPS
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
EAS
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 1
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 3
ROC
48%
20%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
IPS
0 - 2
ALB
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
CAP
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |