Lodigiani vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 0
LOD
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 2
TAR
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASC
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SAS
2 - 0
LOD
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
LOD
0 - 2
VIS
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
FER
2 - 1
PES
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
FER
2 - 1
LAQ
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 1
FER
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
FER
0 - 1
SAS
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 3
FER
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |