Lobos BUAP vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 2
LOB
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
LOB
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
LOB
4 - 0
AUR
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
LOB
0 - 2
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
JUA
1 - 0
LOB
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
TIJ
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 1
CAÑ
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
TIJ
2 - 1
CAÑ
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
ZAC
36%
27%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +2 |