Lobos BUAP vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 0
UAT
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
LOB
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
LOB
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LEO
4 - 0
LOB
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 3
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 3
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 3
LOB
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
QRO
2 - 2
TOL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |