Lobos BUAP vs La Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOB
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
CAZ
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
3 - 0
DOR
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 0
LOB
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
0 - 1
CAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VER
1 - 0
LAP
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
EST
2 - 1
LAP
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
3 - 1
TOR
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LAP
3 - 1
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +3 |