Lobos BUAP vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
TIG
2 - 1
LOB
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
LOB
1 - 0
OBR
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
LOB
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 1
LOB
43%
25%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ORI
1 - 2
OBR
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
TOR
0 - 1
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
ORI
1 - 1
SNL
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
COB
3 - 1
ORI
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2005 |
ORI
1 - 0
GUE
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |