Lobos BUAP vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
2 - 1
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOB
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
VER
4 - 1
LOB
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
MER
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
EST
2 - 0
LOB
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 3
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
SAN
15%
22%
64%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAZ
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 0
UDG
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |