Lobos BUAP vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
ATS
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VER
2 - 2
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
LOB
2 - 1
LAP
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOB
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
CAZ
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
VER
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
LAP
0 - 1
CAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 4
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |