Lobos BUAP vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
3 - 0
DOR
41%
25%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 0
LOB
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 0
NEC
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 2
LAP
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
CAZ
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
JAG
3 - 2
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
2 - 1
SNL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |