Llanelli AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 0
POR
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 5
LLA
10%
17%
73%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LLA
3 - 1
NEW
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PRE
0 - 1
LLA
18%
21%
60%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 2
LLA
14%
19%
68%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
POR
1 - 3
CAE
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
WEL
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
POR
3 - 2
PRE
45%
22%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NEA
3 - 0
POR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |