Livyi Bereh vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
16º
14º
62
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
FKK
3 - 2
LIV
7%
13%
80%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
VOR
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LNZ
1 - 0
LIV
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
3 - 0
MIN
52%
22%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 1
MET
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
0 - 5
SHA
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IPS
1 - 0
SHA
44%
23%
34%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |