Lisburn Distillery vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
LIS
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
LIS
3 - 1
LAR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
INS
0 - 2
LIS
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LIS
0 - 0
CLI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LIN
1 - 3
LIS
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 1
LIM
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ARC
0 - 4
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 2
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
POR
4 - 0
GLE
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
GLE
2 - 3
LAR
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |