Lisburn Distillery vs Dollingstown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
24
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 2
LIS
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 1
QUB
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
POR
1 - 2
LIS
53%
21%
27%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
DOL
4 - 0
LIS
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 0
LIS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dollingstown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 2
LIM
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DOL
0 - 0
MOY
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
4 - 2
DOL
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 0
BAN
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
DOL
4 - 0
LIS
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |