Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIS
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 1
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIS
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
COL
3 - 0
LIS
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
LIS
1 - 4
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
POR
4 - 2
CRU
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
CLI
1 - 1
CRU
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1999 |
BAL
2 - 2
CRU
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |