Lisburn Distillery vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIS
43%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
LIN
3 - 2
LIS
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
LIS
0 - 1
NEW
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
LIS
2 - 0
GLE
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
BAL
1 - 1
LIS
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 0
GLE
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
POR
2 - 1
CRU
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 1
CLI
62%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
COL
1 - 2
CRU
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRU
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |