Lisburn Distillery vs Ballymacash Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
6º
44
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
52% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 2
LIS
36%
24%
41%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LIS
1 - 1
LIM
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 1
LIS
21%
19%
59%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIS
3 - 1
PSN
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIS
2 - 0
DOL
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Ballymacash Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRF
1 - 2
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
QUB
0 - 3
BRF
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
BRF
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 1
BRF
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRF
5 - 0
PSN
87%
10%
4%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |