Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIN
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
LIN
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
LIN
3 - 0
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
LIN
3 - 2
BAL
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1999 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
CRU
0 - 4
GLE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
LIS
0 - 1
CRU
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
POR
4 - 2
CRU
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |