Linfield vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
25%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
LIN
3 - 1
GLE
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
COL
2 - 1
LIN
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
LIN
3 - 0
OMA
71%
20%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 1
LIN
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
GLE
2 - 1
CRU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
CRU
3 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1999 |
CRU
0 - 0
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1999 |
BAL
1 - 2
CRU
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |