Limavady vs Ballymacash Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
8º
4º
44
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Limavady
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 2
LIM
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TOB
0 - 5
LIM
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
2 - 1
ARC
68%
18%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 0
LIS
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 1
PSN
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ballymacash Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRF
5 - 0
PSN
87%
10%
4%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 2
ARC
77%
14%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
4 - 2
DOL
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PSN
0 - 8
BRF
11%
18%
72%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
BRF
2 - 1
TOB
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |