Lille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 2
AUX
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
SOC
0 - 1
LIL
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
LIL
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SOC
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
LOR
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |