Lille vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PSV
3 - 1
LIL
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MPL
1 - 0
LIL
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 2
VAL
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VAL
3 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |