Lille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
0 - 0
LIL
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
LIL
2 - 0
MON
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUX
77%
15%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
LIL
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 1
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 1
AJA
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 1
TFC
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 3
TFC
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 5
REN
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
REI
1 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |