Lille vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 3
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LIL
4 - 0
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 2
AUX
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
LIL
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
43%
29%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REN
0 - 1
TFC
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 1
LOR
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
TFC
73%
18%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 0
SOC
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |