Lille vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
ASN
2 - 0
LIL
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
LIL
2 - 2
GIR
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
NIC
1 - 2
LIL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
LIL
0 - 1
MET
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NAN
4 - 1
LIL
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1980 |
NÎM
0 - 0
AUX
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
ANG
1 - 2
NÎM
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
NÎM
4 - 2
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1980 |
VAL
1 - 1
NÎM
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
NÎM
3 - 2
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |