Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
SOC
1 - 2
LIL
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
LIL
3 - 1
LYO
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
TFC
2 - 1
LIL
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LIL
4 - 2
MET
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
NIC
0 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
TRO
3 - 4
NIC
46%
21%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SOC
4 - 1
NIC
49%
22%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
58%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
NIC
1 - 2
LEN
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |